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The Mongrel's Player Power Rankings - Vol 3

Has it been two weeks already?

It sure has, and the third instalment of the Mongrel Punt’s Player Power Rankings is upon us.

So, a brief recap for those unfamiliar with this system – it is a statistical rankings system that both respects the body of work of a player over the course of a season, but places emphasis on the performance over the last four rounds in particular. This allows for movement in the rankings as players surge or fall away over a number of weeks.

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Righto, so instead of going through what’s happened before, here are the links to our two previous Player Power Rankings this season.

1st Rankings - published after R4

2nd Rankings - published after R6

So, players are rated and ranked on their strengths at each position. Defenders will accrue points for metres gained, and disposals, but only if their disposals are at a certain efficiency rating. Forwards are rated on tackles inside 50 as well as contested marks and score involvements. Rucks score on hit outs and clearances, while mids have inside 50s, contested possessions and uncontested possessions with good efficiency. There’s more – way more, but I don’t want to bore you in the first few paragraphs… I’ll have plenty of time for that later.

In a nutshell, players are rated in stat categories pertinent to their positions. Trust me? I guess you’ll have to.

So let’s start with the defenders.

 

DEFENDERS

 

10 – DANIEL RICH

9 – BACHAR HOULI

8 – MARK BLICAVS

7 – ALEX KEATH

6 – BRODIE SMITH

5 – TOM STEWART

4 – RORY LAIRD

3 – ZAC WILLIAMS

2 – SHANNON HURN

1 – JAMES SICILY

 

ANALYSIS

Despite reportss of his temper, and a bit of a penchant for avoiding contact (sorry Hawks fans… watch and you’ll see what I mean), Sicily has put together a stellar season to date, and would be a lock for a half back flank position in the All-Australian team based on his rebound ability, and the fact that he gains huge amounts of metres without sacrificing efficiency.

You’d have to think Hurn would be in line for the All-Australian captaincy that was somehow awarded to someone else last season (no, I will not shut up about it!). With opposition teams looking to avoid going long into the forward line in order to bypass the intercepting of Jeremy McGovern, Hurn has found himself chopping off many inside 50s, and like Sicily, his ability to hit targets by foot is elite.

A strong last month from Zac Williams has propelled him up the list, while the Geelong pair of Stewart and Blicavs remain one of the most formidable duos in the game. In an article for our Patrons, the influence Stewart has on the Geelong defence was analysed, and had he not spent between 15-20 minutes on the bench being assessed for concussion this past weekend, he may have been able to hit more triggers for power ranking points and been further up the list.

Here’s the link to that article. Also, signing up as a patron allows us to grow, and that can only be a good thing, right?

The Crows have really turned it on in the last month, and now have three defenders residing in the top ten. Smith’s run and carry, combined with the intercepting of Keath and Laird is starting to pay dividends for the team many expected to bounce back after a disastrous 2018.

 

WHO’S KNOCKING ON THE DOOR?

Jake Lloyd, Nick Haynes, Nathan Wilson, Alex Pearce, Nick Vlastuin, Darcy Moore, Dan Houston

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Partial Wrap for your car? Vinyl Media has you covered. Clink the pic and support those who support The Mongrel.

 

MIDFIELDERS

 

10 – SCOTT PENDLEBURY

9 – BEN CUNNINGTON

8 – TRAVIS BOAK

7 – RORY SLOANE

6 – BRAD CROUCH

5 – CLAYTON OLIVER

4 – ADAM TRELOAR

3 – PATRICK CRIPPS

2 – NAT FYFE

1 – TIM KELLY

 

ANALYSIS

What a fortnight for Tim Kelly to propel him up the rankings again. He was ranked #8 in our first rankings, before a couple of lean weeks sent him all the way down to #31 in our second installment. His last two weeks have been sublime, accruing ranking points in several categories.

To put it bluntly, in a good side, Patrick Cripps would be number one, but in a system that rewards a combination of individual brilliance with team success, he is well and truly up against it. Some don’t like the fact that winning plays a part in these rankings, and that’s okay; they can make their own rankings if they like, and Cripps can reign supreme. What we’re looking for is a representation of the impact players on the best teams. I think that’s what the list currently represents overall, but with Cripps… he is the spanner in the works at the moment, and probably deserves special consideration for this high a ranking in spite of his team’s overall performance.

Treloar is really flying under the radar this season. You barely ever hear about him, but at 32.4 touches again, and as the major ball winner on a very good team, it’s pretty difficult to ignore him.

Brad Crouch’s return to form has been just the boon Adelaide required in the guts. With 30+ disposals in each of the past four weeks (all wins), Crouch is looking more and more like the 2017 version of himself – a scary thought for opposition clubs.

 

WHO’S KNOCKING ON THE DOOR?

Jaeger O’Meara, Josh P Kennedy, Marcus Bontempelli, Dion Prestia, Matt Crouch

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Vinyl Media has got you covered for all your signage and printing needs. Give ‘em a yell when you need some work done and they’ll look after friends of The Mongrel.

 

FORWARDS

 

10 – AARON NAUGHTON

9 – ANTHONY MCDONALD-TIPUNGWUTI

8 – CHARLIE CAMERON

7 – HARRY MCKAY

6 – BRAD EBERT

5 – MATT TABERNER

4 – TOM LYNCH (ADEL)

3 – LUKE DAHLHAUS

2 – JEREMY CAMERON

1 – GARY ABLETT

 

ANALYSIS

 

Gaz makes the jump to the number one rated forward this fortnight, with back-to-back displays that saw him average 21 touches and three goals. Hard to argue with his numbers thus far this season, and despite never getting out of second gear defensively, he just seems to know when to go, and when not to.

There are a few on the list who are riding early season form into this ranking period, and unless they produce something in the next fortnight, will fall away. Dahlhaus, Taberner, Mckay and Ebert in particular have all had minimal scoring over the last couple of weeks, and it has closed the gap behind them significantly.

Tom Lynch (Adelaide) is surging, as is Aaron Naughton.

 

WHO’S KNOCKING ON THE DOOR?

Jamie Cripps, Gryan Miers, Jordan de Goey, Luke Breust, Ben Brown

 

RUCKS

 

10 – TODD GOLDSTEIN

9 – ROWAN MARSHALL

8 – REILLY O’BRIEN

7 – SHANE MUMFORD

6 – JARROD WITTS

5 – STEFAN MARTIN

4 – RHYS STANLEY

3 – BEN MCEVOY

2 – MAX GAWN

1 – BRODIE GRUNDY

 

ANALYSIS

I’m a little surprised to see Gawn clock in at second here, but his ruck tap dominance cannot be denied. That said, the race between second, third and fourth is pretty close at the moment. None of them can get close to Grundy and his number one spot. It’d take something extraordinary for someone to displace him by the end of Round 10 when we revisit the rankings.

The owner of the season’s highest scoring power ranking game, Grundy added to his totals again this past weekend with the third highest overall score for the round. As it stands, he is far and away the best ruck of the season.

Bit of a shout out to Rowan Marshall here, who remains in the top ten despite missing two games this season. That’s 25% of games thus far – his ability to gain clearances for the Saints was a contributor to their good early season form, and they need him doing that again this week, as he confronts the number one man in these ruck ratings. How he handles the aerobic beast that is Grundy will be very interesting, and will give the Saints a great indication as to whether Marshall will become what they’re hoping he will.

Reilly O’Brien makes his debut in this list as well, with a pretty decent month. His efforts against the Lycett/Ryder combination were admirable in the Showdown, though I have no idea why the Port bigs didn’t try to work him over a little more. The Crows have no real second option until Jacobs gets back.

 

WHO’S KNOCKING ON THE DOOR?

Tom Hickey, Matthew Kreuzer, Scott Lycett, Callum Sinclair, Jackson Trengove

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Cool van, huh? That’s what Vinyl Media can do for your business. Click the pic and tell ‘em The Mongrel sent you.

 

THE TOP 50

Okay - onto the overall standings. Notable stats under the ranking for each player.

(Previous ranking in parenthesis)

 

50 – LUKE SHUEY (50+)

3rd in total inside 50s

49 – SHAUN HIGGINS (E45)

5th in total uncontested possessions

48 – GRYAN MIERS (50+)

3rd among rising stars in score involvements

47 – BACHAR HOULI (50+)

8th in metres gained per game

46 – JAMIE CRIPPS (50+)

No rankings inside top 20

45 – AARON NAUGHTON (50+)

2nd in total contested marks

44 – JARROD WITTS (E26)

1st total hitouts

43 – ANTHONY MCDONALD-TIPUNGWUTI (E24)

2nd in tackles inside 50 per game

42 – MATT CROUCH (50+)

7th in total disposals

41 – MARK BLICAVS (50+)

10th in 1%ers

40 – STEFAN MARTIN (50+)

9th in total hitouts

39 – DION PRESTIA (E22)

13th in total centre clearances

38 – MARCUS BONTEMPELLI (E49)

4th in total metres gained

37 – JOSH P KENNEDY (44)

5th in total clearances

36 – JAEGER O’MEARA (13)

8th in tackles per game

35 – ALEX KEATH (50+)

1st in total intercepts

34 – RHYS STANLEY (20)

6th in total hitouts

33 – CHARLIE CAMERON (E49)

8th in total tackles i50

32 – DYLAN SHIEL (18)

6th in total inside 50s

31 – TIM TARANTO (21)

5th in tackles per game

30 – HARRY MCKAY (E29)

1st in total contested marks

29 – STEPHEN CONIGLIO (7)

7th in centre clearances per game

28 - LACHIE NEALE (10)

3rd in contested possessions

27 – PATRICK DANGERFIELD (8)

3rd in total inside 50s

26 – BRODIE SMITH (E33)

6th overall in metres gained

25 – BRAD EBERT (E15)

2nd in tackles inside 50 per game

24 – MATT TABERNER (11)

4th overall in contested marks

23 – TOM ROCKLIFF (50+)

5th overall in disposals

22 – BEN MCEVOY (14)

3rd overall in contested marks

21 – TOM STEWART (19)

1st overall in rebound 50s

20 – RORY LAIRD (50+)

8th overall in uncontested possessions

19 – TOM LYNCH (ADEL) (50+)

6th overall in score involvements

18 – SCOTT PENDLEBURY (50+)

3rd overall in inside 50s

17 – BEN CUNNINGTON (E22)

1st overall in handballs

16 – TRAVIS BOAK (12)

4th overall in disposals

15 – RORY SLOANE (43)

Equal 1st in tackles per game

14 – LUKE DAHLHAUS (9)

14th overall in tackles inside 50

13 – BRAD CROUCH (28)

10th overall in disposals

12 – ZAC WILLIAMS (E29)

6th overall in kicks

11 – MAX GAWN (E15)

2nd overall in hit outs

10 – CLAYTON OLIVER (50+)

2nd overall in inside 50s

9 – ADAM TRELOAR (E26)

2nd in uncontested disposals

8 – PATRICK CRIPPS (5)

1st overall in tackles

7 – JEREMY CAMERON (2)

1st in total goals

6 – SHANNON HURN (4)

1st in total kicks

5 – JAMES SICILY (6)

1st in metres gained

4 – NAT FYFE (17)

5th in total clearances

3 – TIM KELLY (31)

8th in total clearances

2 – GARY ABLETT (3)

4th overall in score involvements

1 – BRODIE GRUNDY (1)

3rd overall in hit outs

 

ANALYSIS

Well, you know you’re doing something right when you’re able to retain the number one spot in what is supposed to be a very fluid ranking system, huh? Given Grundy has now been the number one ranked player in each of our first three periods, he is doing more than something right – he is doing many, many things right.

With talk of a huge offer about to hit the table at Collingwood, it’s no wonder they’re keen to secure the services of the best ruckman in the game.

For the first time this season, however, we have a genuine contender to the number one spot. The Little Master made big inroads into Grundy’s lead this period, and if this rich vein of form continues, we could see a new leader after Round 10.

A goalless round by Jeremy Cameron killed not only the talk of whether he can kick 100 goals in a season, but also his momentum in these rankings. You see, a quiet week really impacts your four week, 100% weighting, and he’ll need a bag or two in the coming weeks to arrest what could amount to a slide.

Big leaps up the rankings for Tim Kelly, Scott Pendlebury, and Calyton Oliver. Oliver’s game against the Suns was amazing, and his 15 tackles helped propel him into the top ten overall. What worries me is that the Dees got that sort of game from Oliver and still needed a last gasp score to pinch the win.

 

WHO’S OUT?

Quite a few, actually. Either via missed games, or a couple of weeks where their form didn’t hit previous heights, the following players missed the top 50 this fortnight. Previous ranking in parenthesis.

Connor Rozee (E49)

Mitch Brown (E47)

Brayden Fiorini (E47)

Alex Pearce (E45)

Daniel Rich (42)

Andrew Gaff (41)

Jake Lloyd (40)

David Mundy (39)

Nathan Brown (38)

Michael Walters (E36)

Zach Merrett (35)

Jack Billings (E33)

Jack Martin (32)

Lachie Whitfield (E24)

 

A huge fall from grace for Whitfield, who has had a couple of weeks where he has been unable to influence the games at all, having been sidelined the last two rounds, and injured in Round Six.

Amazingly, Nathan Brown was dropped for Round Seven, despite leading the league in 1%ers at the time. Absolutely amazing.

Jake Lloyd’s fall is indicative that if he doesn’t hit the 25 disposals and run at a high efficiency, he doesn’t do enough of anything else to compile enough points to maintain his spot.

Gaff has been very consistent in accumulating possessions, but his usage has been poor this season. In the Eagles games I’ve watched, it’s seemed as though Gaffis hitting targets due to luck, throwing the ball on his boot as often as lowering his eyes. As he missed the first couple of games, it’s been difficult for him to make up ground, and I expect that even if his current ball-winning ways continue, it’ll be mid-season before he enters the top half of these rankings.

And there we have it - who’s missing? Who’s too high, and who’s too low? You know where to hit us up to have your say. Get us on our socials, or scroll on down and comment away. We’re the Mongrels… all comments on the blog below are guaranteed a response.

Finally, I release the round-by-round Power Ranking results as part of our patreon service. if you’d like to know who the top scorers are on a week to week basis, please consider joining and helping to support the site.

Seeya after Round 10.

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